If I bet laying that a star NFL kicker will make a filed goal, I will certainly be a big 70% plus winner. If you bet Withita State on College Baskets on the money line this season, you won 100%, and very few of those money lines fully reflected the very high odds that Wchita State would win straight up. You didn’t hear Stevens say the sport in which he hit 70% did you? He didn’t mention if that record was in money line games or in point spread games.
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Moneyline betting is ideal for times when you’re not convinced the favorite will cover the spread, but you still think they’ll win. However, there is great value in moneyline betting when you know what you’re doing. To find an undervalued favorite, you also need to look at less higher-profile games.